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¿Cuál de estas dos generaciones votará más en el futuro?

Hay personas que votan más que otras. Los datos de participación muestran que, a mayor de edad, mayor es la asistencia a las urnas.

Usando las cifras disponibles de asistencia a las urnas de dos generaciones distintas de votantes, los nacidos entre 1961 y 1964 y los nacidos entre 1989 y 1993, es posible proyectar la participación electoral de estas generaciones en el futuro.

Este análisis muestra que mientras la participación de los votantes que hoy día rondan los 55 años de edad apunta a un crecimiento en las siguientes tres elecciones nacionales, la estimación de la participación del grupo que hoy ronda los 28 años es de disminuciones sostenidas en el mismo período. Esto quiere decir que, de no darse ningún cambio es esperable que en el futuro se amplíen las diferencias generacionales en materia de asistencia a las urnas. 

Participación electoral observada y proyectada al futuro para dos generaciones de votantes. 1982-2026

(en porcentajes)

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